Analysing Over/Under 2.5 Goals in the 2021/22 Premier League from Real Data
The 2.5-goal line sat almost exactly on the natural scoring rhythm of the 2021/22 Premier League, which made it both the most popular and the most finely balanced totals market. Across 380 matches, the league produced 1,071 goals—an average of 2.82 per game—so the “default” expectation floated just above the 2.5 threshold, yet team-level patterns…
